Paper
31 July 2024 Basic minimum stack of experiments in time series forecasting with ARIMA model
Author Affiliations +
Proceedings Volume 13217, Third International Conference on Digital Technologies, Optics, and Materials Science (DTIEE 2024); 132170L (2024) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3035836
Event: Third International Conference on Digital Technologies, Optics, and Materials Science (DTIEE 2024), 2024, Fergana and Bukhara, Uzbekistan
Abstract
A scheme and a basic set of software experiments for time series forecasting using an integrated autoregressive-moving average model (Box-Jenkins model) are presented. The model is based on the assumption that there is some relationship between neighboring values of a time series. In particular, the hypothesis is accepted that the time series contains three components: autoregressive, integrated and moving average. The application of the ARIMA model for forecasting time series using the statistical modelling language R - from the stage of data loading and preprocessing to the prediction of future values - is presented.
(2024) Published by SPIE. Downloading of the abstract is permitted for personal use only.
Igor Botygin, Vladislav Sherstnev, and Anna Sherstneva "Basic minimum stack of experiments in time series forecasting with ARIMA model", Proc. SPIE 13217, Third International Conference on Digital Technologies, Optics, and Materials Science (DTIEE 2024), 132170L (31 July 2024); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3035836
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KEYWORDS
Autoregressive models

Data modeling

Statistical analysis

Time series analysis

Statistical modeling

Systems modeling

Deep learning

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